Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.359107 0.473131 0.598002 0.742816 0.904261 1.077086 1.274542
2025-05-04 0.229882 0.386044 0.575967 0.813755 1.095139 1.410715 1.785278
2025-05-11 0.160909 0.332305 0.558365 0.856349 1.221983 1.642949 2.152831
2025-05-18 0.102611 0.274100 0.521943 0.865853 1.302201 1.816258 2.449607
2025-05-25 0.048981 0.199734 0.447976 0.814873 1.298341 1.882113 2.614153
2025-06-01 0.016590 0.139006 0.379256 0.760048 1.281365 1.925815 2.747166
2025-06-08 0.003676 0.102565 0.338785 0.737453 1.300629 2.009730 2.924649
2025-06-15 0.000348 0.085428 0.327168 0.754026 1.369836 2.154466 3.174725
2025-06-22 NaN 0.064061 0.301320 0.745428 1.402589 2.251602 3.365448
2025-06-29 NaN 0.044017 0.270681 0.725197 1.416619 2.323014 3.523086
2025-07-06 NaN 0.040121 0.276765 0.764381 1.513836 2.501522 3.813516
2025-07-13 NaN 0.037031 0.283963 0.805095 1.613129 2.682767 4.107521
2025-07-20 NaN 0.034429 0.293590 0.853225 1.728098 2.890979 4.443827
2025-07-27 NaN 0.036937 0.319135 0.930199 1.886399 3.157996 4.856518
2025-08-03 NaN 0.033946 0.326929 0.975650 1.998644 3.364282 5.192662
2025-08-10 NaN 0.025878 0.315389 0.985888 2.059169 3.502444 5.443293
2025-08-17 NaN 0.011894 0.270327 0.931229 2.021827 3.509676 5.527650
2025-08-24 NaN 0.003224 0.226500 0.872347 1.974346 3.500774 5.589437
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000511 0.202378 0.848036 1.976772 3.556937 5.732278
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000080 0.198999 0.865870 2.044058 3.700928 5.987696
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.183734 0.856619 2.068162 3.785559 6.166452
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.164014 0.834839 2.071139 3.840425 6.306223
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.172050 0.877004 2.176688 4.036965 6.629790